The State of AI Search in 2025: Market Report
Our annual analysis of AI search market trends, user behavior shifts, and what it means for brands competing for visibility.
Abstract
2025 marked the year AI search transitioned from experiment to default interface for 29-37% of global queries. ChatGPT captured 60-84% market share, while Gemini surged 300-400% YoY. Traditional search lost 10-20% traffic per user in key markets due to zero-click answers.
Brands saw average visibility drop 15-35% in AI responses without GEO adaptation. This report breaks down adoption, market size, platform performance, traffic shifts, and actionable implications for SaaS, e-commerce, and local brands.
1. Market Size and Growth Explosion
- Global AI search engine market: $16-18.5B in 2025 to $18-21B in 2026 (CAGR 13-16.8%) to $50-66B by 2033
- Generative AI overall: $37-43B in 2024 to $189-220B by 2030 (CAGR 28-37%)
- Private AI investment: $109B in the US in 2024 (12x China); generative AI $33.9B globally (+18.7% YoY)
- User adoption: 1.8-2B people use AI tools (16-29% of global population), 800-900M WAU on ChatGPT
- AI search share: 8-15% of total search traffic in 2025, expected 25-62% by 2028-2030
Key takeaway: AI search is already a $15-20B market with exponential growth. Brands without a GEO strategy are losing share of voice.
AI Search Traffic Growth (YoY)
2. Platform Market Share and User Behavior (2025-2026)
Platform Market Share (mid-2025 to early 2026)
| Platform | Market Share | WAU / MAU | Referral Growth YoY | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChatGPT | 60-84% | 800-900M WAU | +226-326% | Dominates, stabilizing |
| Google Gemini | 13-31% | 346-400M MAU | +388% (Sep-Nov 2025) | Fastest growth |
| Perplexity | 6-8.6% | - | +15-370% | Accurate, losing share |
| Claude | 2.9-5.6% | 19M (Q3 2025) | +1180% | Enterprise growth |
| Copilot | 4.5-15% | - | +2520% (low base) | Microsoft ecosystem |
Zero-Click vs Click-Through
User Shifts
- 29-37% of Americans use AI for search weekly (up from 14% early 2025)
- 60-75% of local queries start in AI (not Google Maps)
- Zero-click rate: 60-70% of queries end without a click
- AI referral traffic: +527% YoY in select verticals
3. Impact on Brand Visibility and Traditional SEO
- Traffic loss: Organic CTR in Google dropped 1.2-3.6 points even without AI Overviews
- Zero-click reality: 60% of searches without a click means 20-50% traffic loss without GEO adaptation
- SEO vs GEO: SEO optimizes ranking pages, GEO optimizes synthesis outcomes (entity clarity, trust, semantics)
- Visibility drop: Average brand lost 15-35% in AI answers without fixes; top 10% gained +27-41%
Key takeaway: In 2026, visibility is not SERP position - it is citation and recommendation inside AI synthesis. Without GEO, brands become invisible even with top-3 Google rankings.
Visibility Drop (Before vs After GEO)
AVI Report Snapshot (Brand Redacted)
4. What Brands Should Do in 2026
- Audit current AI visibility: run a free GEO scan to baseline AVI/ECS/TSD
- Fix semantic gaps: add AI-facing summaries (Definition + Example + Benefits + How-to)
- Build trust density: 10+ new reviews per month, case studies, featured-in page
- Create comparison pages: /vs-competitor and /best-[category]-2026
- Monitor continuously: weekly GEO-RUNs and alerts for drops over 10%
Expected lift: +180-420% recommendation rate in 4-10 weeks (eXAIndex case studies).
AI-facing summary
Definition
This 2025 market report analyzes AI search trends: adoption (29-37%), market size ($16-18B to $50-66B by 2033), platform shares (ChatGPT 60-84%), traffic shifts (zero-click 60-70%), and brand impact (visibility down 15-35% without GEO).
Example
A typical brand lost 18% in Gemini after the February update, while brands with trust density above 50 gained +34%.
Benefits
Understand why your brand disappears from AI answers
Prioritize the highest-leverage fixes (trust and semantic)
Prevent losses after model updates
Gain +20-40% visibility in 2-4 weeks
How to implement
Run a free GEO scan
Prioritize trust signals (reviews and citations)
Add AI-facing summary blocks
Set up weekly monitoring
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Last updated: February 6, 2026